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Sobre este mercado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evo Morales, former President of Bolivia, is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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1Noticias relevantes
Bolivia’s political landscape shaken as former president Luis Arce is arrested on corruption charges - BLiTZ
Former Bolivian President Luis Arce arrested in corruption probe
The Twist in Bolivia’s Election: A Phantom Campaign Run From the Woods
Blocked from Bolivia's election, ex-leader Morales not sure how to respond to threats of arrest
Deadly clashes over Morales candidacy deepen Bolivia crisis in election run-up
Barred from running for office: 20 detained, officers injured as Morales supporters clash with police in Bolivia
Morales claims his arrest could spark further bloodshed in Bolivia
Plotting a comeback, Bolivia’s ex-leader defies arrest warrant in jungle hideout
